185 thoughts on “GA-Sen: Results Thread”

  7. according to CNN. Martin underperforming in all of them by like 10% (that by no means is representative).

    Guestamate of turnout: 40% of general election.

  12. I remember Chambliss took a 60% lead when the first votes in the General election were reported. The Republican areas seem to report first here, and they haven’t counted the early votes which narrowly leaned in Martin’s favor. If Martin can get Chambliss to 53-47 before the bulk of Fulton and DeKalb and Clayton report, he might have a shot at pulling it off.  

  13. about twenty-30 Republican counties are reporting in bulk, while only a few rural counties are reporting in significant numbers for martin and a little bit of Bibb, Chamblisses back yard. Good news is that their Martin holds the early lead: 96-4. Hah. Bibb is Macon, which has a large black population and is normally pretty solid for Democrats. Also of interest is that Athens-Clark has not even start Reporting yet either.  

  14. Chambliss with 6 percent in.

    Over thirty Republican counties are reporting in bulk, including must of the conservative outer ring of suburbs around Atlanta. Look for Chamblisses margin to be all downhill from here. Not sure yet if Martin can or will pull it off. So far only six Democratic counties have reported, only five have report more than 105 of their precincts and these are mostly small rural counties with barely 1500 votes cast a piece compared to a buttload of Rural Republican counties and the heavily populated suburbs. Martin also seems to be holding his own in Gwinett, not a bad sign.

  15. It’s nonpartisan but Mike Sheffield is a Christian right stooge and is fighting to get above 51% even though most everything reported is rural and Republican.

  16. Martin doing 3.2% worse than his 48.5% share of the two-way vote on Nov 4th. That means he’s at like 45%.

    Hopefully a lot of Absentee/Early Voting in the numbers. Again no democratic counties are in – with extremely low turnout, moderate turnout in those counties can win it for Martin.

    Again predictions are rough, no dem counties in. There is still hope.  

  17. 15% in. Turnout is down everywhere. In Democratic Twiggs it looks like its down 25% from 4000-3000. In other very rural Dem areas its down even more.

    With 27% in Bibb Martin still has a much bigger margin than he had in the GE, 67-33 compared to 57-43.

    But total turnout in overwhelmingly Republican Cobb so far, if current trends hold, will be about 130-140 thousand, compared to 310,000 in the GE. More than 50% loss of votes in a populous area Republicans can’t afford to lose votes. Lets see how the Democratic turnout machine worked in its urban areas, that will be the difference here.

    Oh, and Gwinnett is skewed at 64-36 Republican right now becuase the uoter reaches of the county report first while the closer in, more urban Atlanta precincts usually come in late and help Democratic margins overall in the County, quite significanltly actually.

  25. Martin failed to get turnout in Democratic urban areas. Obama was what he really needed to do this in a big election eve rally.

    Richmond and Chatham both look like they will have barely over a third of the votes they cast in the general, and Bibb looks the same way and he underperformed his election day total there by four points, the same across the board. While Cobb and Gwinett are improving, I’m calling it a night and giving this one to Chambliss by a ten point margin.

    jw

  26. We would not even be here had Vernon Jones won the primary.  He was have been annihilated on Election Day.

  27. want more gridlock.  This means that we may not get a stimulus package or universal healthcare, which are needed to boost the economy.  Dont come yelling at us Georgia in 2010 when the economy hasnt improved because it will be your fault for leaving 42 Republican Senators.  

  29. CNN has called it for Chambliss, who leads 60-40 with 62% of the votes in. We see who got their voters out and who didn’t. Democrats in urban areas were hardest hit, with the major population centers where Democrats have to rack up huge margins seeing one third, if that, of election day turnout and smaller margins for the Democrat. This Georgia 2006 all over again.

  31. After today I’m a but more confident on that seat. If we get to 59 I’ll be very happy because of Specter. I just really want to see the EFCA passed.

  32. Georgia is like Colorado a few years ago: very Republican tradition but demographics will pull it toward us.

    No one would have thought a Democratic would come within 5 points of winning its electoral votes, and no one would have thought that a sitting Republican senator would be forced into a runoff against a second-tier Democrat.

  33. If Franken wins in MN and gets our total to 59, is there any GOPer we can convince to switch parties?  I’d like to have 60 senators, more for symbolic reasons than anything else…

  34. Well I’m out for the night guys.  This election just became much less important for me.  Found out my grandmother is in the hospital and not doing good.  She’s 85 and in worsening health (lun problems).  And all this on my birthday…

    1. because we’ve accomplished positively nothing here.

      Tom Schaller is once again vindicated, I am sorry to say.

  38. http://www.nationaljournal.com…

    To be sure, Martin himself was always going to be a tough sell, even to Georgia Democrats. The former state representative had no obvious statewide base or appeal. This was a guy who was simply in the right place at the right time. It’s hard to envision how Obama alone could have made him more attractive.

    It’s also important to note, however, that even in November, Martin still wasn’t able to match Obama’s showing in these key Democratic counties. In Fulton, for example, Martin’s 63 percent showing was 4 points lower than Obama’s. This suggests that Obama’s rising tide was unable to lift all boats.

    While a loss would have been demoralizing for the party, a win here is simply a continuation of the status quo. The first step in rebuilding the party would be to start to win seats in, say, the Midwest or Southwest. One big opportunity, for example, would be to knock off Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid in 2010. This would have the double impact of picking off a Democrat Republicans love to hate while showing that Republicans can compete in a state where John McCain got walloped.

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